Ebola outbreak in West Africa: real-time estimation and multiple-wave prediction
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Ebola outbreak in West Africa: real-time estimation and multiple-wave prediction.
Based on the reported data until 18 March 2015 and numerical fitting via a simple formula of cumulative case number, we provide real-time estimation on basic reproduction number, inflection point, peak time and final outbreak size of ongoing Ebola outbreak in West Africa. From our simulation, we conclude that the first wave has passed its inflection point and predict that a second epidemic wave...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
سال: 2015
ISSN: 1551-0018
DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2015.12.1055